A recent Victory Insights poll has revealed that 26.5% of New Yorkers are considering leaving the city if Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a progressive candidate, wins the upcoming mayoral election. Conducted between October 22 and 24 among 500 likely voters, the survey indicates that nearly 40% of respondents view Mamdani as a threat to the city’s future, including approximately one-third of Democrats. Despite these concerns, Mamdani leads in all potential matchups, including a three-way race where he holds a significant lead over former Governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa.

Mamdani, a 34-year-old state assemblyman from Queens, has built his campaign on progressive policies such as affordable housing, expanded social programs, and higher taxes for wealthy residents. Supporters praise him as a bold visionary who can make New York more equitable, while critics argue that his proposals are too radical and could accelerate outmigration. His approval rating averages 2.99 out of 5, slightly below average but ahead of rivals Cuomo (2.40) and Sliwa (2.72).

The poll results highlight growing frustration among New Yorkers over rising rents, safety concerns, and a perceived lack of leadership. Victory Insights described the moment as “an inflection point” that could reshape the city for years. Despite criticism, Mamdani remains the frontrunner, with early voting beginning this weekend and Election Day on November 4.

In response to the poll, some residents have expressed their intention to leave the city if Mamdani wins, citing concerns over his progressive agenda. Others argue that such fears are exaggerated and that the city will adapt to new leadership. As the election approaches, New Yorkers remain divided over the future direction of their city.